Dear Lew:1 The intelligence about the effects of current Federal Reserve System policy contained in your last letter fits with certain other reports that have come to me.2
We are, of course, suffering some of the pains of prosperity. The supply of savings and money generally has never been greater but the demand is greater still. The confidence people have in the future has produced plans in a surging volume and the result is so-called "tight money."3
While the System's policy of restraint has been rightly directed toward the goal of stability at these high levels of activity, among us here we have had for some time certain reservations about the timing and extent of the policy. These opinions have been made clear to the Federal Reserve Board Chairman and I am sure he has accorded them full weight.4 But he feels strongly about his responsibility under the law, as he should. The general public, of course, makes no differentiation between the Administration and the fully independent Federal Reserve Board.5
We are continuing to explore ways both of making this fact clear and of securing further provision for the legitimate credit needs of small business and agriculture, and I have some reason for hope that the Federal Reserve Board will loosen some of their restrictions within the next few weeks.6
We must find a way to foster a healthily growing, high-employment, peacetime economy while containing inflation. It is a new and challenging task.7
I am always grateful to have the benefit of your thinking. Thanks again for writing.
With warm regard, As ever