Dear Arthur: I have no quarrel whatsoever with your thesis that the presentation of a government package program for stimulating economic recovery would be better than piece-meal accomplishment or announcement.1
One difficulty that occurs to me instantly is that caused by the laborious and tortuous channels that must be pursued in Washington in the process of translating any good idea into action that even remotely resembles the original thought. Even if, in unusual circumstances, the proposal and the result should be identical, yet there always intervenes time-consuming argument and pulling and hauling that erodes the psychological effect sought in the original plan.
With respect to your item (1): When I contemplate the minimum size of the Federal budget that we are now certain to have about 1961, I am alarmed by the amount of deficit spending we shall probably have to do.2 As I try to peer just a bit down the road into the future, I cannot fail but be impressed by the inflationary factors that we shall likely have to combat. A sizeable tax reduction may become one of these; I have not yet been convinced of proof of its necessity. And if it is not needed at the moment then I am quite sure its future effect would be inflationary.
With respect to item (2): I agree to the objective you seek.3 But what law could bring about the result you seek? Certainly I do not believe you are advocating Federal price controls.
I completely agree with item (3).4 As you know, we are urging some temporary benefit supplements, but I have a feeling that the permanent improvement of the law should wait some definite signs of economic improvement. Otherwise we shall have unwise legislation.5
I agree also with (4).6
With respect to (5), I think we have to do much more than merely get rid of some of the restrictive regulations and laws.7 The railways need more self-help, as well as more understanding on the part of the government and the public. Also, less feather bedding!
I do not have before me your "Prosperity Without Inflation," and so must confess that I do not recall the outline of your proposal about reconstruction of the Advisory Board on Economic Growth and Stability.8
As you know, I finally felt compelled to sign the latest Housing Bill, even though certain of its provisions seemed to me to be unwise, if not completely stupid. The freezing of interest rates on veterans’ mortgages with the requirement that the government purchase them at par, is demagoguery at its worst.9
I find that as time goes on, the Republicans in Congress show much more of a disposition to stand by the Administration firmly in legislative activity. But the pity is that we do not have a Republican majority in either house.
With warm regard, As ever