Dear Lew: Thank you very much for your two letters of the nineteenth. I am only sorry to learn that you are, to some extent at least, still a captive of the doctors and I trust that before too long you will once again be feeling completely like yourself.1
First, as to your paper regarding the relationship between our own economic welfare and foreign exchange, in connection with our efforts to obtain adequate support for foreign aid and an adequate reciprocal trade bill. We are, as you know, following the third alternative you outline, the one you call prudent. I am, of course, grateful to you for the statement you prepared; I am certain it will have a helpful impact.2 Incidentally, I asked Dr. Hauge to prepare for me a memorandum on this whole field; I am enclosing a copy of his comments.3
Now as to the current recession. There is no day, literally no hour, when the subject is not before me. We are of course giving attention to the problem of counteracting the slump by means that will be constructive over the long run, as well as in the immediate present. I assure you that purely financial considerations would not stand in the way of a reduction program if this is indicated, as I judge you believe it is, and there would be no disposition to favor large increases in public works’ expenditures as an alternative.4
I know you realize, however, that a very considerable increase in Federal expenditures is inevitable under present commitments, without our undertaking any more, and this fact must be considered in any decision deliberately to reduce tax revenues.5 What to do to benefit the present and not to harm our future economy presents one of the toughest problems I have had in a lifetime of difficult ones!
Take care of yourself, and know that I greatly appreciate your support and your thoughts.
With warm personal regard, As ever